By the time the system over the central United States begins to approach and interact with Joaquin (~24 hours from now), the model guidance will probably get a better handle on how it will impact Joaquin’s path.Hurricane Joaquin is expected to continue strengthening as it drifts into the Bahamas, potentially becoming a category four hurricane by tonight. The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)for the season was 68% of the long-term median value. Another frontal system begins to develop along the US East coast on Tuesday morning and pulls the stationary front northward. This strengthening is supported by high sea surface temperatures, decreasing vertical wind shear, and a very moist environment. Well below normal temperatures settle in for the weekend, again with strong westerly winds veering northwesterly – some post-frontal shower activity could develop as much cooler continental air moves over the still warm waters of the western Atlantic.Afternoon high temperatures will likely struggle to reach 70F on Sunday following Friday’s front. However, on November 4, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) noted the possibility of the system developing into a tropical cyclone near The Bahamas. These conditions include potentially life threatening storm surge, topped with large and battering waves, along with torrential rains over several tidal cycles.As of the 6pm advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Joaquin remains a major hurricane but has weakened slightly and now has maximum 1-minute sustained winds near 125mph and a minimum central pressure near 942mb.Hurricane Joaquin, in an impressive bout of rapid intensification, strengthened from a tropical storm to a category three, major hurricane yesterday. Potential convective structural changes that are common in major hurricanes could result in weakening or at least fluctuations in intensity as Joaquin exits the Bahamas on Friday night. By sunset, a weak cold front associated with the non-tropical low that steered Kate northeastward crossed the island with another brief period of shower activity. The frontal system is expected to move east-northeastward beyond Tuesday.Meanwhile, a tropical low currently just north of the Turks and Caicos Islands is being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for the possibility of tropical depression or storm formation as it tracks west-northwestward. The main threat from Joaquin in the Bahamas appears to be the violent winds, particularly in the Hurricane Warned areas. 2015 Hurricane Names: Ana Bill Claudette Danny Erika Fred Grace Henri Ida Joaquin Kate Larry Mindy Nicholas Odette Peter Rose Sam Teresa Victor Wanda: 2016 Hurricane Names: Alex Bonnie Colin Danielle Earl Fiona Gaston Hermine Igor Julia Karl Lisa Matthew Nicole Otto Paula Richard Shary Tomas Virginie Walter: 2017 Hurricane Names Kate became the 4th Hurricane of the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season Earlier Today. 85 GHZ SSMI COLOR COMPOSITE IMAGE OF HURRICANE KATE AT 1120 UTC 11 NOVEMBER 2015. %PDF-1.5 %���� Kate has since transitioned into a post-tropical cyclone and is expected to bring strong and gusty winds and heavy rain to the UK in the next three to four days as a non-tropical cyclone.Northwesterly winds have now settled in and are strong at times. Five of this year’s storms reached category 3 or above, eclipsing the previous record of three. The 2015 hurricane season has officially come to a close in both the Atlantic and eastern/central Pacific basins.
Fueled by warm air and sea temperatures, Patricia grew rapidly into the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere.In the North Central Pacific – the region above the equator from 140 to 180 degrees western latitude — 14 named storms and eight hurricanes formed or moved into the region. It continued strengthening yesterday morning, reaching category four strength and became one of the most intense hurricanes to make a direct hit on the Central Bahamas in the modern record as pressures fell as low as 931mb. November 12, 2015 November 12, 2015 Michael Johnston Leave a comment. 1492 0 obj <>stream 1479 0 obj <>/Filter/FlateDecode/ID[<381FAAB49210FD4786626B1FA79CFAF7><1C44AB062278D94388BF7DC7EF5541BA>]/Index[1456 37]/Info 1455 0 R/Length 106/Prev 686952/Root 1457 0 R/Size 1493/Type/XRef/W[1 3 1]>>stream This made Kate the latest Atlantic hurricane since Hurricane Epsilon of the hyperactive.After becoming a hurricane, Kate continued to strengthen, and it is estimated that it peaked in intensity around 12:00 UTC on November 11 with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph and a minimum pressure of 980 mbar. Hurricanes and cyclones in 2015 menaced regions that do not usually see them.Deborah Byrd created the EarthSky radio series in 1991 and founded EarthSky.org in 1994. Kate began to weaken after this time as it encountered strong shear and cooler sea surface temperatures.
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